COVID-19 variants of concern

The Claim: Since the discovery of the coronavirus in 2019, the virus, which causes Covid-19 has been mutating into various strains or variants.
The Verdict: claim verdict

Since the discovery of the coronavirus in 2019, the virus, which causes Covid-19 has been mutating into various strains or variants.

The SARS-CoV-2 virus’ genetic material has experienced numerous changes, some of which have altered how easily it is transmitted, the severity of the disease it causes, and the performance of Covid-19 vaccines, diagnostics, and treatments against it. These changes, or mutations, occur when a virus replicates or makes copies of itself. A virus that has mutated in this way is referred to as a variant. 

Below we discuss Covid-19 variants of concern.

Variants of concern

·         According to the World Health Organisation (WHO), a variant is considered a variant of interest if it has mutations that are suspected or known to cause significant changes, and is circulating widely (e.g., known to cause many clusters of infected people, or found in many countries).

·         There are many variants of interest that WHO is continuing to monitor in case they become variants of concern.

·         A variant of interest becomes a variant of concern if it is known to spread more easily, cause more severe disease, escape the body’s immune response, change the clinical presentation, or decrease the effectiveness of known tools – such as public health measures, diagnostics, treatments, and vaccines.

The following are Covid-19 variants of concern being monitored by the WHO and its international networks of experts according to gavi.org

Alpha (B.1.1.7)

·         It was first detected in the United Kingdom, and designated a variant of concern in December 2020. Alpha has now been verified in 192 locations worldwide (as of 3 December 2021).

·         It contains several key mutations in the spike protein – the key the virus uses to gain entry to human cells – that mark it out from the original Wuhan strain.

·         One is a N501Y mutation, which improves spike protein binding to cellular receptors making the virus more contagious. It also contains a D614G mutation, thought to enhance viral replication and a P681H mutation, the function of which is unclear, but which has emerged spontaneously many times.

·         Alpha is estimated to be around 50% more transmissible (contagious) than the original Wuhan strain, although there is considerable variation between studies. It is also thought to be associated with increased disease severity, although the data on this is also mixed.

·         Covid-19 vaccines and monoclonal antibody treatments remain highly effective against it.

·         The WHO is also monitoring the spread of an Alpha variant that contains an additional E484K mutation, which may help the virus to slip past the body’s immune defences by evading neutralising antibodies generated through vaccination or previous infection.

Beta (B.1.351)

·         The Beta variant was first detected in South Africa and was also designated a variant of concern in December 2020.

·         Since then it has been verified in 139 locations worldwide (as of 3 December 2021), although there is some evidence that its global prevalence may be decreasing as the Delta variant takes over.

·         In addition to three of the mutations observed in the Alpha (or Alpha plus) variant (E484K, N501Y, and D614G), Beta contains a K417N mutation, which may help the virus avoid neutralising antibodies generated through vaccination or previous infection.

·         It is thought to be around 50% more transmissible than previous variants, but there’s little evidence that Beta is associated with more severe disease.

·         The main concern is reduced neutralisation by antibodies generated through vaccination or as a result of previous infection, which could mean that people who have already recovered from COVID-19 are at greater risk of being reinfected or that vaccines may be less effective against it.

·         Even so, recent real-world data from Canada suggested one dose of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine was 82% effective against hospitalisation or death caused by either the Beta or Gamma variants.

·         Two doses of several widely-used vaccines, such as the Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna vaccines, appear to offer strong protection against it.

Gamma (P.1)

·         Designated a variant of concern in January, 2021, Gamma was first detected in Brazil, but has now been verified in 98/239 locations worldwide (as of 3 December, 2021).

·         Like some other variants of concern, it contains E484K, N501Y, and D614G mutations. It also contains a K417T mutation – associated with increased binding to human cells, which may make it easier for the virus to spread – and an H655Y mutation, the function of which is unknown.

·         According to studies the Gamma variant may be 1.7 to 2.4 times more transmissible than non-variants of concern, while people who have recovered from COVID-19 are afforded only 54 to 79% of the protection against reinfection with the Gamma variant, compared to other variants.

·         However, all Covid-19 vaccines seem to work well against it.

Delta (B.1.617.2)

·         The Delta variant was first detected in India in May 2021 and has now been verified in 176 locations worldwide, rapidly overtaking existing variants to become the dominant variant in many countries.

·         Delta contains the D614G mutation, plus many additional ones not seen in other variants of concern.

·         These include an L452R mutation, which is thought to increase infectivity and may help the virus to evade destruction by immune cells; a T478K mutation, thought to help it avoid recognition by the immune system; and a P681R mutation, which is associated with an enhanced ability to trigger the severe disease. There have also been reports of a ‘Delta plus’ variant, which was first identified in Nepal and carries an additional K417N mutation.

·         The Delta variant is estimated to be 40-60% more transmissible than the Alpha variant, and roughly twice as transmissible as the original Wuhan strain of SARS-CoV-2.

·         Data from Scotland, suggested it was associated with roughly double the risk of hospitalisation compared with Alpha.

·         Notwithstanding data suggests vaccines are slightly less effective against preventing infection with the Delta variant – particularly among those who were vaccinated longest ago – they remain strongly protective against severe disease.

Omicron (B.1.1.529)

·         Omicron was rapidly identified in numerous countries in November, 2021, after South African scientists alerted the WHO to a sudden increase in COVID-19 cases in Gauteng province, coinciding with the variant’s detection.

·         The first known confirmed Omicron infection was from a specimen collected on 9 November 2021. As of 3 December 2021, it had been verified at 22 locations worldwide, including parts of North and South America, Europe, Africa, Asia and Australia.

·         Omicron has a large number of mutations, some of which are concerning. These include N501Y, D614G, K417N and T478K mutations, which are also found in other variants of concern, plus many others which have not yet been characterised.

·         Preliminary evidence from epidemiologists in South Africa suggests an increased risk of reinfection with Omicron, compared to other variants of concern.

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